本週五,USD/JPY貨幣對遵循了一個替代情境。在最後一刻,價格逆轉發生了——就在Marlin振盪器進入下行趨勢區域之前。現在價格已經突破了149.38目標和23.6%的斐波那契回撤水平。
目前價格正在向目標位151.30前進——這是3月3日的高點,與38.2%的費波納奇回撤位相吻合。若突破該水平,上漲趨勢將得以延續,目標區間將指向153.60-154.56,由MACD線與2024年6月的低點確定。該區間同時包含61.8%的費波納奇回撤位。這是目前的主要情境。
在H4圖表中,價格已經鞏固在149.38目標水平之上,而Marlin振盪指標已經進入正區域。我們預期價格將達到第一目標151.30。
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